US Job Claims, Eurozone Retail Sales to Draw Focus Today
FX Update
The euro rose marginally against the U.S. dollar on Wednesday, but came off session highs, after a widely expected collapse of the French government following a no-confidence vote by opposition lawmakers.
The greenback, on the other hand, was little changed overall, as the December interest rate cut chances remained on track amid signs that the American economy was slowing..
Crude Oil:
Crude Oil futures fell nearly two percent as investors awaited an imminent OPEC+ decision on production cuts, while a larger-than-expected draw in U.S. crude stockpiles last week lent some support to prices.
Gold:
Gold edged higher after data showed U.S. private payrolls rose at a moderate pace last month, while investors digested remarks from Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell and looked forward to Friday’s non-farm payrolls report.
Copper:
Copper prices in London eased on technical factors as the market awaited more clarity on demand prospects in top metals consumer China and possible trade tariffs. The metal used in power and construction rose 1.3% on Tuesday and closed at the highest since Nov. 12. But it remains range bound while investors watch for developments on import tariffs threatened by U.S. President-elect Donald Trump and possible retaliation from China.
MCX Closing Update
Gold 77,902 (0.25%), Silver 93,293 (1.19%), Crude oil 5,848 (-1.37%), Copper 821.90 (-0.08%), Natural Gas 258.70 (-0.12%)
Major Economic Data and Event Update – US Job Claims, Eurozone Retail Sales
· France services final PMI fell to 46.9 in November from 49.2 in October. Any figure below 50 shows a contraction in activity; however the final reading was above November’s flash services PMI of 45.7 points.
· Eurozone composite Purchasing Managers’ Index for the currency union, compiled by S&P Global and seen as a good gauge of overall economic health, sank to 48.3 in November from October’s 50.0.
· German services Purchasing Managers’ Index fell to 49.3 in November from 51.6 in October, moving below the 50-point threshold that separates growth from contraction.
· Italy Purchasing Managers’ Index for Italian services came in at 49.2 in November, down from 52.4 the month before and below the key 50 level that separates growth from contraction.
· India Services PMI for November stood at 58.4 (vs. 59.2 prior, 59.5 expected).
· U Private payrolls rose by 146,000 jobs last month after advancing by a downwardly revised 184,000 in October, the ADP report showed. Employment increasing by 150,000 after a previously reported 233,000 jump in October.
· At the same time, the U.S. services sector activity slowed in November after posting big gains in recent months. The Institute for Supply Management’s non-manufacturing purchasing managers index slipped to 52.1 last month after surging to 56.0 in October, the highest since August 2022. Economists polled by Reuters had forecast the services PMI easing to 55.5.
Major Economic Data and Event scheduled today – US Job Claims, Eurozone Retail Sales
Australia
At 6.00am-
Goods Trade Balance. Data is foreseen at 4.53B from previous 4.61B.
Above data could have a volatile impact on the dollar.
Eurozone
At 12.30pm- German Factory Orders m/m. Data is foreseen at -2.0%from previous 4.2%.
At 1.15pm- French Industrial Production m/m. Data is foreseen at 0.2% from previous -0.9%.
At 3.30pm- Retail Sales m/m. Data is foreseen at -0.3% from previous 0.5%.
Above data could have a mixed impact on the Euro.
UK
At 3.00pm- Construction PMI. Data is foreseen at 53.5 from previous 54.3.
At 11.30pm- MPC Member Greene Speaks
Above data could have a mixed impact on the pound.
Canada
At 7.00pm- Trade Balance. Data is foreseen at -1.0B from previous -1.3B.
At 8.30pm- Ivey PMI. Data is foreseen at 53.10 from previous 52.00.
Above data could have a mixed impact on the Canadian dollar.
US
At 6.00pm- Challenger Job Cuts y/y.
At 7.00pm-
Unemployment Claims. Data is foreseen at 215k from previous 213k.
Trade Balance. Data is foreseen at -75.2B from previous -84.4B
At 9.00pm- Natural Gas Storage
Above data could have a volatile impact on the dollar,.
Until then, Happy Trading!
Commodity Samachar Securities
We Decode the Language of the Markets
Also Read: Fed Chair, ECB, BOE Heads: Key Speeches to Watch Today , Flat Market Start: Nifty Updates & Key Stock News Highlights
Recommended Read: The Finale of the US Elections 2024: What Lies Ahead for the Commodities Market?
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