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Navigating the Golden Waves: A Week of Shifting Tides in Gold Prices


As the sun sets on a tumultuous week, gold investors find themselves riding a wave of sharp ascents and subtle ebbs, mirroring the unpredictability of the ocean itself. Amidst a backdrop of economic uncertainty and market fluctuations, gold prices in both the US and India have painted a vivid picture of the current financial landscape, offering insights and intrigue in equal measure. ๐Ÿ’ซ

India’s Golden Glow Intensifies โœจ

In India, the charm of gold has only grown stronger, with prices experiencing a notable uptick. The 22 Carat gold, a favorite among jewelry buyers, saw its price climb to โ‚น68,130 per 10 grams on May 11, 2024, marking a modest yet significant rise from โ‚น67,880 in the preceding days. Not to be outdone, the 24 Carat variant, sought after for its purity, also ascended to โ‚น71,540 per 10 grams. This movement is not merely a figure on a chart but a dance influenced by the rhythm of demand and supply, inflationary pressures, interest rate speculations, and the ever-fluctuating currency values. ๐Ÿ’ฐ๐Ÿ’Ž

The US Perspective: A Safe Haven in Turbulent Times ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ

Across the pond, the US gold market (XAU/USD) has not been idle. Trading at $2,369 after a recovery from daily lows, gold has emerged as both a protagonist and a sanctuary in the narrative of economic concern. This shift comes in the wake of disheartening sentiment data and labor market figures that cast long shadows over the US economic outlook. Despite these challenges, or perhaps because of them, investors have gravitated towards the precious metal, seeking refuge and reliability. ๐Ÿ“ˆ๐Ÿ’ผ

The Fed’s Stance: A Symphony of Opinions

The Federal Reserve’s ensemble of voices provided a mixed chorus on the future of monetary policy. From Atlanta’s Fed President Raphael Bostic’s hawkish tones to Fed Governor Michelle Bowman’s call for steadiness, the narrative is complex. The dialogue surrounding interest rates โ€“ to cut or not to cut โ€“ continues to unfold, with the market hanging on every word. ๐Ÿฆ๐Ÿ’ฌ

Looking Ahead: The Economic Telescope ๐Ÿ”ญ

As we peer into the next week, the stage is set for the release of key economic indicators including inflation figures, retail sales, and building permits, all eyes are on the forthcoming US CPI data, which could either fuel the current bullish trend in precious metals or bring it to a halt. These reports, along with anticipated Fed speeches, are poised to offer fresh plot twists in the ongoing saga of gold prices and economic health. ๐Ÿ“Š๐Ÿ“ˆ

Market Movers: A Daily Digest ๐Ÿ“ฐ

Despite the undercurrents of a stronger US Dollar and a slight uptick in US Treasury yields, gold has found strength in uncertainty. The University of Michigan’s Consumer Sentiment Index’s notable decline has cast a spotlight on inflation expectations and labor market concerns, subtly influencing Federal Reserve rate cut probabilities and investor sentiment alike. ๐Ÿ’ผ๐Ÿ“‰

As the narrative unfolds, gold remains a central character in the story of economic resilience and investor sentiment. With each twist and turn, the precious metal offers a mirror to the world’s financial health and a beacon for those navigating the unpredictable waters of the market. Whether in India’s vibrant bazaars or the global financial markets, gold continues to shine, reflecting the hopes, fears, and aspirations of investors around the world. โœจ๐ŸŒ๐Ÿ“ˆ

Technical view on Gold for next week

๐Ÿ‘‰Gold (XAUUSD) broke the key Horizontal level around $2352 Which is a support level now and the price is going down to retest the new support from where we will be expecting a upward movement.

๐Ÿ‘‰Going back to the trading plan for next week, we will have strong news such as CPI on Wednesday and unemployment news, so it is expected that next week will be a week of strong fluctuations. Gold has broken the downtrend and returned to the uptrend, so next week expecting Bullish move. We will wait for CPI news to determine the trend more clearly.

๐Ÿ‘‰The Gold prices are maintaining its positive momentum as it continues to trade above the critical 100-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) on the daily chart.
Currently, gold prices have surpassed a downward trend channel that began in mid-April, with the 14-day Relative Strength Index (RSI) positioning in a bullish zone at approximately 60.80. This indicates strong support for the buyers at this moment.

๐Ÿ‘‰In Gold we can continue for long above $2340. The upper pressure will be around $2410 (INR 73300). At the beginning of the week, if the level brakes above $2370, which can continue to be bullish. Otherwise, the market will be at $2370, fluctuates sideways, and it can continue to be bullish if it does not fall below $2340 during the session.

Happy Trading!

Commodity Samachar
Learn and Trade with Ease

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