Leading Indicators helps in deciding the trend of the market


Here is the checklist of leading indicators which helps analyst to decide the trend of the market.

Leading indicators

GBP: CPI y/y at 11:30 AM

Measures: Change in the price of goods and services purchased by consumers

Released monthly, about 16 days after the month ends

Next Release Date Nov 16, 2022

This is considered the UK’s most important inflation data because it’s used as the central bank’s inflation target

Consumer prices account for a majority of overall inflation. Inflation is important to currency valuation because rising prices lead the central bank to raise interest rates out of respect for their inflation containment mandate

Forecast- [10.0%]
Previous- [9.9%]
Actual- ?

Impact- The forecast figure seems to be neutral for base metals and the dollar while positive for bullions. The actual figure to release at 11:30 AM.


Crude Oil Inventories at 8:00 PM

Measures: Change in the number of barrels of crude oil held in inventory by commercial firms during the past week

Released weekly, 4 days after the week ends
Next Release Date Oct 26, 2022

While this is a US indicator, it most affects the loonie due to Canada’s sizable energy sector

It’s the primary gauge of supply and demand imbalances in the market, which can lead to changes in production levels and price volatility

Forecast- [2.5M]
Previous- [9.9M]
Actual- ?

Impact- The forecast figure seems to be positive for Crude Oil The actual figure to release at 8:00 PM.

Source: Forex factory

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