Jitters of the global recession fear and ongoing WEF Annual Meetings


Global commodities prices retreated from the day’s high and settled down slightly lower on Wednesday.  Comex gold prices fell by 0.01% and settled at $1909.70 and Silver by 1.76%, settled at $23.65.

GLOBAL

Brent Crude fell 0.5% to $84.16 a barrel, while West Texas Intermediate crude futures fell 0.7% to $78.86 a barrel by 20:30 ET (01:30 GMT). Both contracts slipped more than 1% on Wednesday following the weak U.S. economic readings.

The bullions prices gave up some gains after the US dollar bounced back from the day’s low 101.265 and closed at 102.1070 as compared to the previous day’s close of 102.1410. The currency found support after weak U.S. retail sales and manufacturing production reports released which increased market concerns about a recession. 

A plunge in global bond yield also added to the sentiment. The 10-year T-note yield sank to a 4-month low of 3.373%, and the 10-year German bund yield tumbled to a 1-month low of 1.976%.  Also, the 10-year Japan JGB bond yield fell to a 3-week low of 0.361%.

U.S. Dec retail sales data released yesterday,  fell by -1.1% m/m, weaker than expectations of -0.9% m/m and the biggest decline in a year.   Also, Dec retail sales ex-autos fell by-1.1% m/m, below than expectations of -0.5% m/m and the biggest decline in 22 months.

U.S. Dec PPI final demand raised +6.2% y/y, below expectations of +6.8% y/y and the smallest gain in 1-3/4 years.  Also, Dec PPI ex-food and energy rose +5.5% y/y, weaker than expectations of +5.6% y/y and the weakest gain in 19 months.

U.S. Dec manufacturing production fell -1.3% m/m, below  than expectations of -0.2% m/m and the biggest decline in 1-3/4 years.

Today, the Economic calendar in European trading hours, where European Central bank president Lagarde speaks scheduled at 4pm, will give some volatile momentum in the Euro.

Further, at 7 pm US Philly Fed Manufacturing Index is scheduled to release with a forecast at -10.9 as compared to the previous reading -13.80 which would have a neutral impact on the dollar.

At the same time, US Unemployment Claims are scheduled to be released, forecast is at 214k as compared to the previous reading 205K, which may have a negative impact on the dollar.

Outlook- Jitters of the global recession fear and ongoing WEF Annual Meetings will expect to hold volatile momentum in the market.