Economic Indicators: A high volatility is expected


Here is the checklist of economic indicators which may drag the market towards high volatility.

economic indicators

USD: Final GDP q/q at 6:00 PM

Measures: Annualized change in the inflation-adjusted value of all goods and services produced by the economy

Released quarterly, about 85 days after the quarter ends
Next Release Date Dec 22, 2022

While this is q/q data, it’s reported in an annualized format (quarterly change x4). The ‘Previous’ listed is the ‘Actual’ from the Preliminary release and therefore the ‘History’ data will appear unconnected. There are 3 versions of GDP released a month apart – Advance, Preliminary, and Final. The Advance release is the earliest and thus tends to have the most impact

It’s the broadest measure of economic activity and the primary gauge of the economy’s health

Forecast- [-0.6%]
Previous- [-0.6%]
Actual- ?

Impact- The forecast figure seems to be neutral for base metals and the dollar while negative for bullions. The actual figure to release at 6:00 PM


USD: Unemployment Claims at 6:00 PM

Measures: The number of individuals who filed for unemployment insurance for the first time during the past week

Released weekly, usually on the first Thursday after the week ends

Next Release Oct 6, 2022

This is the nation’s earliest economic data. The market impact fluctuates from week to week – there tends to be more focus on the release when traders need to diagnose recent developments, or when the reading is at extremes

Although it’s generally viewed as a lagging indicator, the number of unemployed people is an important signal of overall economic health because consumer spending is highly correlated with labor-market conditions. Unemployment is also a major consideration for those steering the country’s monetary policy

Forecast- [215K]
Previous- [213K]
Actual- ?

Impact- The forecast figure seems to be slightly neutral for base metals and the dollar while positive for bullions. The actual figure to release at 6:00 PM


FOMC Member Bullard Speaks at 7:00 PM

Measures: Due to speak about the economic outlook at a virtual forum on emerging markets. Audience questions expected;

FOMC voting member 2010, 2013, 2016, 2019, and 2022

Federal Reserve FOMC members vote on where to set the nation’s key interest rates and their public engagements are often used to drop subtle clues regarding future monetary policy


USD: FOMC Member Mester Speaks at 10:30 PM

Measures: Due to participate in a panel discussion titled “Policy Panel” at the Inflation: Drivers and Dynamics 2022 conference hosted by the Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland and the European Central Bank, in Cleveland

FOMC voting member 2014, 2016, 2018, 2020, and 2022

Federal Reserve FOMC members vote on where to set the nation’s key interest rates and their public engagements are often used to drop subtle clues regarding future monetary policy


Natural Gas Storage at 8:00 PM

Measures: Change in the number of cubic feet of natural gas held in underground storage during the past week

Released weekly, 5 days after the week ends
Next Release Date Oct 6, 2022

Inventories are used to maintain price stability during supply shortages and periods of increasing demand

Forecast- [93B]
Previous- [103B]
Actual- ?

Impact- The forecast figure seems to be slightly positive for Natural Gas The actual figure is to release at 8:00 PM.

Source: Forex Factory

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